2008 Caucus Conference

2008 Reforming the Presidential Nomination Process Conference

January 3-4th, 2008

Department of Political Science, University of Iowa

3rd Floor Schaeffer Hall

Hosted by Peverill Squire and Caroline Tolbert

INTRODUCTION/WELCOME (8:30) Tom Rice

PANEL 1: WHO CAUCUSES? QUESTIONS OF REPRESENTATION (8:30-10:15)

1) “Decided by the Few: Are the Iowa Caucuses Representative?”

David Redlawsk, Caroline Tolbert, Daniel Bowen University of Iowa

2) “Simulating Outcomes in the Iowa Caucuses Adjusting for Socioeconomic Status and Ethnicity”

Thomas Holbrook and Michael Tofias, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee

3) "Sex and the Caucus: Descriptive Representation and Opinions about Hillary Clinton"

David Redlawsk and Tracy Osborn, University of Iowa

4) “Is Iowa Representative?”

Michael Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa and Peverill Squire, University of Missouri

Discussants: Tom Rice

BREAK (10:15-10:30)

PANEL 2: UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENT NOMINATION PROCESS (10:30-12:15)

5) "The Future of Retail Politics in Presidential Primaries"

Linda Fowler, Dartmouth University and Lynn Vavreck, UCLA

6) “New Media and the 2008 Presidential Nomination Campaign”

Audrey Haynes, University of Georgia

7) “Racing To the Front: The Effect of Frontloading on Presidential Primary Turnout”

Lonna Atkeson, University of New Mexico and Cherie Maestas, Florida State University

Discussant: Cary Covington

LUNCH 12:15-1:15

PANEL 3: PARTY POLITICS, VOTERS AND REFORM (1:15-3:15pm)

8) "Crossover Voting in Presidential Primaries"

Michael Hagen, Temple University (co-authored with Richard Johnston, University of Pennsylvania)

9) “The Party Decides: Presidential Nominations Before and After Reform”

Marty Cohen, James Madison University, David Karol, University of California, Berkeley (co-authored with John Zaller, UCLA)

10) “Iowa as the Land of Expectations (with apologies to Norton Juster)”

Todd Donovan, Western Washington University

11) " The Invisible Primary and Its Deleterious Effects on Democratic Choice"

John Aldrich, Duke University

Discussant: Peverill Squire

BREAK 3:15-3:30

PANEL 4: REFORM (3:30-5:15)

12) "Regional Primaries: Past and Future"

Barbara Norrander, University of Arizona

13) “Nomination Contests and Political Change: It's Not Just Who Wins that Counts”

Ron Rappaport, College of William and Mary (co-authored with Walter Stone, University of California, Davis)

14) “An Incremental Approach to Presidential Nomination Reform”

William Mayer, University of Massachusetts

Discussant: Caroline Tolbert

CONCLUDING GENERAL DISCUSSION (5:15-5:30)